MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$421K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 2 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $217 avg across 7 analysts.
Buy-rated share 70% → 75% over ~3 months (+5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.36 | $1.46 | +7.4% |
| Jul 2026 | $1.31 | $1.40 | +6.9% |
| Apr 2026 | $1.20 | $1.77 | +47.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.33 | $1.27 | -45.5% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.28 | $1.26 | -44.7% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.21 | $1.21 | +0.0% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.11 | $1.14 | -46.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.16 | $1.17 | +0.9% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $409M— | $487M+18.9% | $566M+16.3% | $639M+12.7% | $721M+13.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.90— | $4.36+11.8% | $4.42+1.4% | $4.66+5.4% | $4.87+4.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $220M— | $276M+25.4% | $287M+4.1% | $357M+24.5% | $405M+13.3% |
| Gross Margin | 71.9% | 72.5%+0.6pp | 72.8%+0.3pp | 72.7%-0.1pp | 43.3%-29.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 67.9% | 69.0%+1.1pp | 69.7%+0.7pp | 69.4%-0.4pp | 39.9%-29.5pp |
| Net Margin | 38.5% | 38.2%-0.2pp | 35.4%-2.8pp | 35.7%+0.3pp | 35.7%+0.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 10.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $350M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $405M) · equity value $10.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 57 for EastGroup Properties indicates a moderately positive outlook, driven by strong momentum and low risk factors. The stock's momentum scores high on its 12-month return of 14.3% and bullish moving average trend, while its risk profile benefits from a beta of 1.0 and relatively low volatility. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 33.7, contributing to a lower value score of 39. The short-term score of 60 is slightly higher than the long-term score of 54, suggesting a recent uptick in the stock's favorable trends.