MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (38) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.3B— | $2.2B+72.9% | $3.7B+63.6% | $4.8B+30.1% | $6.1B+27.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-3.79— | $-3.15n/m | $-1.73n/m | $-1.05n/m | $-0.01n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$518M— | -$729Mn/m | -$115Mn/m | $408Mn/m | $648M+58.9% |
| Gross Margin | 38.7% | 33.8%-5.0pp | 37.5%+3.7pp | 38.1%+0.6pp | 41.3%+3.1pp |
| Operating Margin | -120.5% | -67.5%+53.0pp | -21.5%+45.9pp | -12.8%+8.8pp | -0.3%+12.5pp |
| Net Margin | -117.5% | -61.5%+56.0pp | -21.9%+39.6pp | -10.6%+11.2pp | 0.1%+10.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$2.8M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 12.7%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $313M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $648M) · equity value $12.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 38 indicates that DraftKings Inc. has mixed investment attributes, with growth being a notable strength, scoring 82 due to its high revenue and EPS growth rates. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of -75.2 and EV/EBITDA of 82.6, which weighs on its value score of 22. The company's profitability also exhibits weaknesses, with an ROE of -26.3% and operating margin of -2.9%, contributing to a profitability score of 33. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting a consistent view of the company's investment profile.
Avg target $34 (last qtr, 13 analysts) → $31 (last mo, 7) (-7.4%).
Buy-rated share 78% → 81% over ~3 months (+2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.02 | $-0.14 | -741.6% |
| May 2026 | $0.22 | $0.20 | -9.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.36 | $0.36 | +0.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $-0.43 | $-0.26 | +39.7% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.15 | $0.38 | +151.2% |
| May 2025 | $-0.08 | $-0.07 | +9.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.07 | $-0.28 | -500.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $-0.42 | $-0.60 | -42.9% |