MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (42) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $36 (last qtr, 11 analysts) → $39 (last mo, 2) (+8.1%).
Buy-rated share 78% → 81% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.22 | $0.20 | -9.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.36 | $0.36 | +0.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $-0.43 | $-0.26 | +39.7% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.15 | $0.38 | +151.2% |
| May 2025 | $-0.08 | $-0.07 | +9.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.07 | $-0.28 | -500.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $-0.42 | $-0.60 | -42.9% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.01 | $0.12 | +1130.8% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.3B— | $2.2B+72.9% | $3.7B+63.6% | $4.8B+30.1% | $6.1B+27.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-3.79— | $-3.15n/m | $-1.73n/m | $-1.05n/m | $-0.01n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$518M— | -$729Mn/m | -$115Mn/m | $408Mn/m | $648M+58.9% |
| Gross Margin | 38.7% | 33.8%-5.0pp | 37.5%+3.7pp | 38.1%+0.6pp | 41.3%+3.1pp |
| Operating Margin | -120.5% | -67.5%+53.0pp | -21.5%+45.9pp | -12.8%+8.8pp | -0.3%+12.5pp |
| Net Margin | -117.5% | -61.5%+56.0pp | -21.9%+39.6pp | -10.6%+11.2pp | 0.1%+10.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$15.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 7 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 42 indicates a neutral outlook for DraftKings, driven by a high growth score of 76, reflecting its strong revenue and EPS growth of 27% and 99%, respectively. However, this is offset by low scores in value and risk, with the stock trading at a premium, as evidenced by its P/E of 208.6 and P/B of 20.7. The momentum score is moderate, exhibiting a significant rebound over the past 3 months with a 20.8% return, but still showing a bearish trend over the longer term with a 12-month return of -39.9%.