MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.2B— | $3.6B+15.1% | $4.3B+18.2% | $5.0B+16.3% | $5.5B+9.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.71— | $3.23+19.2% | $4.86+50.5% | $6.33+30.2% | $7.02+10.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $121M— | $456M+276.1% | $944M+106.8% | $958M+1.5% | $1.1B+14.5% |
| Gross Margin | 51.0% | 50.3%-0.7pp | 55.6%+5.3pp | 57.9%+2.2pp | 57.7%-0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 17.9% | 18.0%+0.1pp | 21.6%+3.6pp | 23.6%+2.0pp | 23.1%-0.6pp |
| Net Margin | 14.3% | 14.2%-0.1pp | 17.7%+3.5pp | 19.4%+1.7pp | 18.7%-0.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 8.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1000M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $1.1B) · equity value $11.2B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $99 (last qtr, 14 analysts) → $101 (last mo, 13) (+2.2%).
Buy-rated share 46% → 45% over ~3 months (-2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.79 | $2.03 | +13.4% |
| Jul 2026 | $0.88 | $0.94 | +7.3% |
| May 2026 | $0.83 | $0.96 | +15.5% |
| Jan 2026 | $2.77 | $3.33 | +20.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.58 | $1.82 | +15.2% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.68 | $0.93 | +36.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.60 | $1.00 | +65.6% |
| Jan 2025 | $2.48 | $3.00 | +21.0% |
The QScore of 55 for DECK suggests a neutral outlook, driven by strong profitability scores, with a notable ROE of 43.6%, but offset by weaker momentum, as evidenced by a 12-month return of -1.8% and a bearish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. The stock's value scores are middling, with a P/E of 10.9, while growth scores are moderate, reflecting revenue and EPS growth of around 10%. The long-term and short-term scores diverge slightly, with the long-term score 7 points higher, indicating some potential for improvement.