MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (43) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.0B— | $1.7B+62.8% | $2.1B+27.1% | $2.7B+26.1% | $3.4B+27.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.07— | $-0.16n/m | $0.14n/m | $0.51+264.3% | $0.30-41.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $251M— | $354M+41.1% | $632M+78.9% | $836M+32.2% | $1.0B+19.7% |
| Gross Margin | 77.2% | 79.3%+2.1pp | 80.7%+1.4pp | 80.8%+0.1pp | 80.0%-0.8pp |
| Operating Margin | -1.9% | -3.5%-1.6pp | -1.6%+1.9pp | 2.0%+3.6pp | -1.3%-3.3pp |
| Net Margin | -2.0% | -3.0%-1.0pp | 2.3%+5.3pp | 6.8%+4.6pp | 3.1%-3.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $276 (last qtr, 35 analysts) → $286 (last mo, 21) (+3.5%).
Buy-rated share 90% → 89% over ~3 months (-1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.58 | $0.65 | +11.5% |
| May 2026 | $0.51 | $0.60 | +18.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.56 | $0.59 | +6.3% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.46 | $0.55 | +20.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.41 | $0.46 | +12.1% |
| May 2025 | $0.43 | $0.46 | +6.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.44 | $0.49 | +11.4% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.40 | $0.46 | +15.4% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$91.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 76 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 17.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $823M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.0B) · equity value $85.8B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Datadog's QScore of 43 indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score slightly outpacing its long-term score. The company scores high on momentum, driven by its 87% return over the past year, and exhibits strong growth, with revenue increasing 27.7%. However, its value score is dragged down by a high P/E of 484.5 and P/S of 21.6, indicating the stock trades at a premium. Profitability also scores moderately, with a gross margin of 79.5% but a low operating margin of 0.4%.