MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (45) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-08-30.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the company's own history of 7.4%/yr.
Base free cash flow $1.9B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.9B) · equity value $48.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | — | $1.73 | — |
| May 2026 | — | $1.07 | — |
| May 2024 | — | $0.59 | — |
| Feb 2024 | — | $-0.36 | — |
| Nov 2023 | — | $-0.45 | — |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $15.7B— | $17.5B+11.5% | $17.2B-1.3% | $16.9B-1.8% | $17.4B+2.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.37— | $1.32-44.3% | $1.04-21.2% | $1.28+23.1% | $0.00-100.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.2B— | $267M-87.6% | $1.2B+339.7% | $1.5B+31.9% | $2.9B+85.1% |
| Gross Margin | 41.1% | 40.2%-0.9pp | 42.4%+2.2pp | 43.6%+1.2pp | 47.3%+3.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.4% | 11.0%+2.6pp | 12.2%+1.2pp | 12.4%+0.1pp | 15.1%+2.7pp |
| Net Margin | 11.2% | 6.6%-4.7pp | 4.3%-2.3pp | 5.4%+1.1pp | 6.3%+0.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 45 indicates a neutral assessment of CTA-PB, with the long-term and short-term scores showing a slight divergence. The stock scores relatively high on Risk and moderately on Value, with a P/E of 24.0 and P/B of 1.5, but is dragged down by weak Momentum, exhibiting a 12-month return of -19.4% and a low RSI of 28.2. The Growth category is also a mixed bag, with strong FCF growth of 85.1% offset by negative EPS growth.