MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (44) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$32.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 100 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $696 (last qtr, 36 analysts) → $721 (last mo, 24) (+3.7%).
Buy-rated share 71% → 78% over ~3 months (+7pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $1.07 | $1.10 | +2.8% |
| Mar 2026 | $1.10 | $1.12 | +1.8% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.94 | $0.96 | +2.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.83 | $0.93 | +11.8% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.66 | $0.73 | +10.6% |
| Mar 2025 | $0.86 | $1.03 | +20.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.81 | $0.93 | +14.8% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.99 | $1.04 | +5.3% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.5B— | $2.2B+54.4% | $3.1B+36.3% | $4.0B+29.4% | $4.8B+21.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-1.02— | $-0.78n/m | $0.37n/m | $-0.08-121.3% | $-0.65n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $441M— | $675M+52.9% | $929M+37.7% | $1.1B+14.9% | $1.3B+22.7% |
| Gross Margin | 73.6% | 73.2%-0.4pp | 75.3%+2.1pp | 74.9%-0.3pp | 74.7%-0.3pp |
| Operating Margin | -9.8% | -8.5%+1.3pp | -0.1%+8.4pp | -3.0%-3.0pp | -6.1%-3.0pp |
| Net Margin | -16.2% | -8.2%+8.0pp | 2.9%+11.1pp | -0.5%-3.4pp | -3.4%-2.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 44 for CRWD suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a divergence between its long-term and short-term scores. The stock scores high on momentum, with a 12-month return of 41.9% and a 3-month return of 78.6%, but is held back by its value score, which is negatively impacted by its high P/E and EV/EBITDA ratios. The stock's growth score is also moderate, with revenue growth of 21.7% offset by negative EPS growth. The notable divergence between the long-term and short-term scores may indicate a shift in the stock's trends.