MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (53) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $270 (last qtr, 4 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 78% → 77% over ~3 months (-0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $3.13 | $3.88 | +24.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.05 | $3.81 | +24.9% |
| Dec 2025 | $2.86 | $3.25 | +13.6% |
| Sep 2025 | $2.78 | $2.91 | +4.7% |
| May 2025 | $2.55 | $2.58 | +1.2% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.61 | $2.78 | +6.5% |
| Dec 2024 | $2.44 | $2.41 | -1.2% |
| Aug 2024 | $2.35 | $2.56 | +8.9% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $26.5B— | $31.4B+18.3% | $34.9B+11.2% | $37.9B+8.7% | $41.5B+9.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.48— | $0.21-85.8% | $4.20+1900.0% | $6.36+51.4% | $7.80+22.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.3B— | $6.3B+19.5% | $9.5B+50.5% | $12.4B+30.9% | $14.4B+15.8% |
| Gross Margin | 73.5% | 73.3%-0.1pp | 75.5%+2.2pp | 77.2%+1.7pp | 77.7%+0.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 2.1% | 3.3%+1.2pp | 14.4%+11.1pp | 19.0%+4.6pp | 21.5%+2.5pp |
| Net Margin | 5.5% | 0.7%-4.8pp | 11.9%+11.2pp | 16.4%+4.5pp | 18.0%+1.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 53 for CRM suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's value and profitability metrics scoring high, driven by a reasonable P/E of 18.3 and strong margins, including a gross margin of 77.6%. However, growth and momentum scores are lower, weighed down by a 12-month return of -40.9% and a bearish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with only a 5-point divergence, indicating a consistent view across different time horizons.