MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.9B— | $4.4B+48.6% | $5.9B+33.8% | $7.0B+19.5% | $9.0B+28.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.66— | $1.07+62.1% | $1.65+54.2% | $2.23+35.2% | $2.75+23.3% |
| Free Cash Flow | $951M— | $448M-52.9% | $2.0B+346.2% | $3.7B+83.8% | $4.3B+15.7% |
| Gross Margin | 63.8% | 61.1%-2.7pp | 61.9%+0.9pp | 64.1%+2.2pp | 64.1%-0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 31.4% | 34.9%+3.5pp | 38.5%+3.7pp | 42.0%+3.5pp | 42.8%+0.8pp |
| Net Margin | 28.5% | 30.9%+2.3pp | 35.6%+4.8pp | 40.7%+5.1pp | 39.0%-1.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $183 (last qtr, 9 analysts) → $188 (last mo, 3) (+2.9%).
Buy-rated share 90% → 97% over ~3 months (+7pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.81 | $0.87 | +7.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.76 | $0.82 | +8.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.72 | $0.75 | +4.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.65 | $0.73 | +12.5% |
| May 2025 | $0.59 | $0.65 | +10.2% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.57 | $0.65 | +14.6% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.08 | $2.40 | +15.4% |
| Jul 2024 | $1.95 | $2.10 | +7.7% |
Net insider -$193.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 81 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 51 for Arista Networks indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong momentum and profitability scores, which are offset by lower value and risk scores. The stock's high price multiples, including a P/E of 53.2, contribute to its relatively low value score of 46. In contrast, the company exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 63.6%, and solid profitability, with an ROE of 30.6% and operating margin of 42.8%. The long-term and short-term scores are closely aligned, suggesting a consistent outlook.