MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $469.8B— | $514.0B+9.4% | $574.8B+11.8% | $638.0B+11.0% | $716.9B+12.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.24— | $-0.27-108.3% | $2.90n/m | $5.53+90.7% | $7.17+29.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$14.7B— | -$16.9Bn/m | $32.2Bn/m | $32.9B+2.1% | $7.7B-76.6% |
| Gross Margin | 42.0% | 43.8%+1.8pp | 47.0%+3.2pp | 48.9%+1.9pp | 50.3%+1.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 5.3% | 2.4%-2.9pp | 6.4%+4.0pp | 10.8%+4.3pp | 11.2%+0.4pp |
| Net Margin | 7.1% | -0.5%-7.6pp | 5.3%+5.8pp | 9.3%+4.0pp | 10.8%+1.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$59.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 47 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $315 (last qtr, 31 analysts) → $322 (last mo, 3) (+2.0%).
Buy-rated share 94% → 94% over ~3 months (-0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.63 | $2.78 | +70.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.97 | $1.95 | -1.0% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.57 | $1.95 | +24.2% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.31 | $1.68 | +28.2% |
| May 2025 | $1.37 | $1.59 | +16.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.49 | $1.86 | +24.8% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.14 | $1.43 | +25.4% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.03 | $1.26 | +22.3% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 52 for AMZN suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's strengths and weaknesses balancing out. AMZN scores high on growth, driven by its 28.8% EPS growth, but is held back by its value score, as it trades at a P/E of 27.4 and EV/EBITDA of 13.9. The stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 9.8% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average crossover, while its risk score is elevated due to a beta of 1.4 and 60-day volatility of 31.5%.