MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (47) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.4B— | $23.6B+43.6% | $22.7B-3.9% | $25.8B+13.7% | $34.6B+34.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.57— | $0.84-67.3% | $0.53-36.9% | $1.00+88.7% | $2.65+165.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.2B— | $3.1B-3.3% | $1.1B-64.0% | $2.4B+114.5% | $6.7B+180.0% |
| Gross Margin | 48.2% | 44.9%-3.3pp | 46.1%+1.2pp | 49.4%+3.2pp | 49.5%+0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 22.2% | 5.4%-16.8pp | 1.8%-3.6pp | 7.4%+5.6pp | 10.7%+3.3pp |
| Net Margin | 19.2% | 5.6%-13.6pp | 3.8%-1.8pp | 6.4%+2.6pp | 12.5%+6.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$111.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 84 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 45.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.4B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $6.7B) · equity value $810.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Avg target $634 (last qtr, 17 analysts) → $669 (last mo, 4) (+5.5%).
Buy-rated share 81% → 80% over ~3 months (-0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.62 | $1.66 | +2.5% |
| May 2026 | $1.29 | $1.37 | +6.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.32 | $1.53 | +15.9% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.17 | $1.20 | +2.6% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.48 | $0.48 | +0.3% |
| May 2025 | $0.94 | $0.96 | +1.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.08 | $1.09 | +0.9% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.92 | $0.92 | -0.2% |
The QScore of 47 for AMD indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong growth and momentum, but also high valuation and risk. The stock scores high on growth, with revenue and EPS growth of 34.3% and 164.4%, respectively, and exhibits strong momentum with an 88.6% return over the past year. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 126.0, and exhibits high volatility, with a beta of 2.5, which weighs down its overall score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 4-point difference.