MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (50) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$180.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 72 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.4B— | $23.6B+43.6% | $22.7B-3.9% | $25.8B+13.7% | $34.6B+34.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.57— | $0.84-67.3% | $0.53-36.9% | $1.00+88.7% | $2.65+165.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.2B— | $3.1B-3.3% | $1.1B-64.0% | $2.4B+114.5% | $6.7B+180.0% |
| Gross Margin | 48.2% | 44.9%-3.3pp | 46.1%+1.2pp | 49.4%+3.2pp | 49.5%+0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 22.2% | 5.4%-16.8pp | 1.8%-3.6pp | 7.4%+5.6pp | 10.7%+3.3pp |
| Net Margin | 19.2% | 5.6%-13.6pp | 3.8%-1.8pp | 6.4%+2.6pp | 12.5%+6.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $469 (last qtr, 27 analysts) → $600 (last mo, 5) (+28.0%).
Buy-rated share 77% → 81% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.29 | $1.37 | +6.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.32 | $1.53 | +15.9% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.17 | $1.20 | +2.6% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.48 | $0.48 | +0.3% |
| May 2025 | $0.94 | $0.96 | +1.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.08 | $1.09 | +0.9% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.92 | $0.92 | -0.2% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.68 | $0.69 | +1.8% |
The QScore of 50 for AMD indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's strong growth and momentum offset by its premium valuation and higher risk profile. The stock scores high on growth and momentum, driven by impressive revenue and earnings growth, as well as a 12-month return of 263.7%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 169.3, and exhibits lower profitability, with an ROE of 8.1%. The short-term score is 10 points higher than the long-term score, suggesting some near-term optimism.