MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (47) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Not enough return history to estimate factor exposures — 25 of 36 months required. This stock is too recently listed (or has too short a price history) for a reliable Fama-French regression.
Avg target $256 (last qtr, 14 analysts) → $460 (last mo, 1) (+79.8%).
Buy-rated share 78% → 69% over ~3 months (-9pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.54 | $0.61 | +13.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.52 | $0.58 | +12.4% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.39 | $0.49 | +25.7% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.32 | $0.44 | +35.8% |
| May 2025 | $0.28 | $0.33 | +16.2% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.26 | $0.37 | +42.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.17 | $0.23 | +34.8% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.11 | $0.13 | +18.2% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $80M— | $116M+45.0% | $396M+242.2% | $853M+115.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.45— | $-0.17n/m | $-0.64n/m | $1.22n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$40M— | -$15Mn/m | $102Mn/m | $282M+175.1% |
| Gross Margin | 73.5% | 68.9%-4.5pp | 76.4%+7.4pp | 75.7%-0.7pp |
| Operating Margin | -75.4% | -25.5%+49.9pp | -29.3%-3.8pp | 20.3%+49.6pp |
| Net Margin | -73.0% | -22.7%+50.4pp | -21.1%+1.6pp | 25.7%+46.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$240.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 93 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 47 for ALAB indicates a mixed outlook, with the stock's strong growth and momentum offset by its rich valuation and high risk profile. The stock scores high on growth and momentum, driven by impressive revenue and earnings growth of 115.1% and 306.3%, respectively, as well as a 12-month return of 337.1%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 246.4, and exhibits high volatility, with a beta of 4.0 and 60-day volatility of 97.0%, contributing to its low value and risk scores. The short-term score is notably higher than the long-term score, at 55 versus 39.