MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$1.4M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 2 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $93 (last qtr, 11 analysts) → $93 (last mo, 4) (+0.1%).
Buy-rated share 89% → 89% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.79 | $0.93 | +17.7% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.91 | $0.91 | +0.3% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.96 | $0.96 | -0.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.32 | $1.24 | -6.1% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.65 | $0.75 | +16.3% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.92 | $0.84 | -8.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.88 | $0.81 | -7.4% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.26 | $1.25 | -0.8% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.4B— | $15.3B+14.0% | $14.2B-7.2% | $13.4B-5.4% | $14.7B+9.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.96— | $3.17+7.1% | $3.21+1.3% | $3.44+7.2% | $3.42-0.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$2.1B— | -$706Mn/m | -$527Mn/m | -$2.7Bn/m | -$6.8Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 39.1% | 38.3%-0.9pp | 42.1%+3.8pp | 45.7%+3.7pp | 47.2%+1.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 16.4% | 15.9%-0.5pp | 17.5%+1.6pp | 17.8%+0.3pp | 19.6%+1.9pp |
| Net Margin | 11.9% | 11.3%-0.6pp | 12.5%+1.1pp | 14.4%+1.9pp | 13.8%-0.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 52 for Xcel Energy indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score slightly outpacing its long-term score. XEL scores high on momentum, driven by its 9.1% return over the past year and a bullish moving average trend. However, its growth and profitability scores are weighed down by stagnant EPS growth and a negative free cash flow yield. The stock trades at a P/E of 21.5, which is relatively in line with industry averages, contributing to its middling value score.