MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.1B— | $12.5B+11.9% | $12.9B+3.3% | $13.5B+4.7% | $15.1B+12.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.35— | $0.71-69.8% | $1.92+170.4% | $1.70-11.5% | $1.76+3.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $366M— | -$73M-119.9% | -$2.0Bn/m | -$1.1Bn/m | -$1.0Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 69.1% | 63.1%-5.9pp | 63.9%+0.8pp | 67.5%+3.6pp | 54.8%-12.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 15.5% | 15.3%-0.2pp | 17.6%+2.3pp | 17.6%+0.0pp | 18.8%+1.1pp |
| Net Margin | 11.5% | 3.3%-8.3pp | 8.6%+5.3pp | 7.3%-1.3pp | 6.8%-0.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $53 avg across 4 analysts.
Buy-rated share 50% → 47% over ~3 months (-3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.50 | $0.50 | -0.4% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.72 | $0.72 | +0.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.54 | $0.53 | -2.6% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.74 | $0.83 | +12.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.49 | $0.52 | +6.9% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.61 | $0.67 | +10.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.71 | $0.67 | -5.5% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.90 | $0.85 | -5.6% |
Net insider -$2.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 55 for FirstEnergy Corp indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on momentum, with a 12-month return of 8.0% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. However, it is held back by lower profitability scores, with an ROE of 8.5% and operating margin of 18.6%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with the short-term score slightly higher at 58, suggesting no significant divergence in the stock's near-term versus long-term prospects.