MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.9B— | $1.7B-10.9% | $1.9B+14.7% | $1.9B-0.6% | $2.6B+33.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $9.78— | $6.13-37.3% | $6.74+10.0% | $5.79-14.1% | $11.76+103.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $594M— | $357M-39.9% | -$166M-146.6% | $530Mn/m | $627M+18.5% |
| Gross Margin | 48.1% | 39.6%-8.5pp | 39.2%-0.4pp | 38.4%-0.8pp | 43.4%+5.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 39.1% | 27.3%-11.8pp | 28.1%+0.7pp | 25.9%-2.2pp | 32.5%+6.6pp |
| Net Margin | 32.5% | 22.4%-10.1pp | 21.0%-1.4pp | 18.1%-2.9pp | 27.7%+9.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$340K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Buy-rated share 50% → 50% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $4.29 | $3.88 | -9.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.08 | $3.88 | +26.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.93 | $3.46 | +18.1% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.23 | $3.54 | +58.7% |
| May 2025 | $1.97 | $3.00 | +52.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.14 | $2.28 | +6.5% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.63 | $2.14 | +31.3% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.73 | $1.74 | +0.6% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 17.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $330M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $627M) · equity value $34.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 55 for Ubiquiti Inc indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong profitability scores, with a notable ROE of 101.5%, and solid growth, including 103.3% EPS growth. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 37.0, contributing to a lower value score. Momentum is also a concern, with a 12.9% decline over the past three months, while the long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting no significant divergence in the stock's outlook.