MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Buy-rated share 50% → 50% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $4.03 | $4.73 | +17.4% |
| May 2026 | $4.29 | $3.88 | -9.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.08 | $3.88 | +26.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.93 | $3.46 | +18.1% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.23 | $3.54 | +58.7% |
| May 2025 | $1.97 | $3.00 | +52.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.14 | $2.28 | +6.5% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.63 | $2.14 | +31.3% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.7B— | $1.9B+14.7% | $1.9B-0.6% | $2.6B+33.4% | $3.3B+27.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $6.13— | $6.74+10.0% | $5.79-14.1% | $11.76+103.1% | $15.85+34.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $357M— | -$166M-146.6% | $530Mn/m | $627M+18.5% | $909M+44.9% |
| Gross Margin | 39.6% | 39.2%-0.4pp | 38.4%-0.8pp | 43.4%+5.1pp | 46.2%+2.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 27.3% | 28.1%+0.7pp | 25.9%-2.2pp | 32.5%+6.6pp | 36.2%+3.7pp |
| Net Margin | 22.4% | 21.0%-1.4pp | 18.1%-2.9pp | 27.7%+9.5pp | 29.3%+1.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 22.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $689M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $909M) · equity value $34.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net insider -$340K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 51 for Ubiquiti Inc indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong profitability scores, with a notable ROE of 85.6%, but offset by lower value and momentum scores. The stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 35.5, and exhibits weak price momentum, having declined 27.1% over the past year. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 4-point difference, suggesting a consistent view across different time horizons. Overall, the stock's high profitability is countered by its rich valuation and lackluster recent performance.