MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (58) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Not enough return history to estimate factor exposures — 16 of 36 months required. This stock is too recently listed (or has too short a price history) for a reliable Fama-French regression.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-19.
Avg target $2250 (last qtr, 22 analysts) → $2148 (last mo, 14) (-4.5%).
Buy-rated share 75% → 78% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $34.96 | $39.25 | +12.3% |
| Apr 2026 | $14.62 | $23.41 | +60.1% |
| Jan 2026 | $3.62 | $6.20 | +71.3% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.88 | $1.22 | +38.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.05 | $0.29 | +522.2% |
| May 2025 | $-0.39 | $-0.30 | +23.1% |
| Mar 2025 | $1.22 | $1.23 | +0.8% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.8B— | $6.1B-37.6% | $6.7B+9.5% | $7.4B+10.4% | $20.2B+175.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $7.39— | $-14.88-301.4% | $-4.67n/m | $-11.32n/m | $73.76n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $741M— | -$932M-225.8% | -$475Mn/m | -$120Mn/m | $11.5Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 33.3% | 7.1%-26.2pp | 16.1%+9.0pp | 30.1%+14.0pp | 71.5%+41.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 12.3% | -33.4%-45.7pp | -7.0%+26.4pp | -18.7%-11.7pp | 61.2%+79.9pp |
| Net Margin | 10.9% | -35.2%-46.1pp | -10.1%+25.1pp | -22.3%-12.2pp | 56.5%+78.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$13.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 9 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of -12.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.6B (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $11.5B) · equity value $240.0B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 58 indicates a neutral outlook for Sandisk Corporation, driven by a mix of strong growth and profitability scores, which are offset by a low risk score and a value score that suggests the stock trades at a premium. The company scores high on growth, with revenue and EPS growth of 175.3% and 787.1%, respectively, and exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 3333.1%. However, the risk score is low due to high volatility and a beta of 5.2, indicating significant price swings.