MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $107 (last qtr, 11 analysts) → $107 (last mo, 8) (+0.5%).
Buy-rated share 84% → 86% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.81 | $0.81 | +0.6% |
| May 2026 | $0.70 | $0.72 | +2.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.79 | $0.14 | -82.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.69 | $3.11 | +350.7% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.63 | $0.63 | +0.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.51 | $0.83 | +63.4% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.50 | $3.21 | +542.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.41 | $1.20 | +192.7% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.5B— | $31.9B+82.6% | $37.3B+17.0% | $44.0B+18.0% | $52.0B+18.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.26— | $-4.65n/m | $0.87n/m | $4.56+424.1% | $4.73+3.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$743M— | $390Mn/m | $3.4B+762.1% | $6.9B+105.1% | $9.8B+41.6% |
| Gross Margin | 46.4% | 38.3%-8.1pp | 39.8%+1.4pp | 39.4%-0.4pp | 39.8%+0.4pp |
| Operating Margin | -22.0% | -5.7%+16.2pp | 3.0%+8.7pp | 6.4%+3.4pp | 10.7%+4.3pp |
| Net Margin | -2.8% | -28.7%-25.8pp | 5.1%+33.7pp | 22.4%+17.3pp | 19.3%-3.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 12.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $6.7B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $9.8B) · equity value $152.5B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 55 for UBER indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on risk, with a relatively low beta and moderate volatility, but is held back by momentum, which exhibits a bearish trend due to an 18.4% decline over the past year. Value and profitability metrics are moderately positive, with a P/E of 16.2 and ROE near 36%, while growth scores are hindered by slow EPS growth of 2.3%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting a consistent view of the stock's prospects.