MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.5B— | $31.9B+82.6% | $37.3B+17.0% | $44.0B+18.0% | $52.0B+18.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.26— | $-4.65n/m | $0.87n/m | $4.56+424.1% | $4.73+3.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$743M— | $390Mn/m | $3.4B+762.1% | $6.9B+105.1% | $9.8B+41.6% |
| Gross Margin | 46.4% | 38.3%-8.1pp | 39.8%+1.4pp | 39.4%-0.4pp | 39.8%+0.4pp |
| Operating Margin | -22.0% | -5.7%+16.2pp | 3.0%+8.7pp | 6.4%+3.4pp | 10.7%+4.3pp |
| Net Margin | -2.8% | -28.7%-25.8pp | 5.1%+33.7pp | 22.4%+17.3pp | 19.3%-3.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 12.0%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $6.7B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $9.8B) · equity value $132.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $103 avg across 13 analysts.
Buy-rated share 87% → 82% over ~3 months (-4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.81 | $0.81 | +0.6% |
| May 2026 | $0.70 | $0.72 | +2.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.79 | $0.14 | -82.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.69 | $3.11 | +350.7% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.63 | $0.63 | +0.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.51 | $0.83 | +63.4% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.50 | $3.21 | +542.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.41 | $1.20 | +192.7% |
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 54 for UBER indicates a neutral outlook, driven by its strong profitability and relatively low risk profile, with scores of 55 and 72, respectively. However, the stock's growth and momentum categories score lower, at 47 and 39, due to slowing EPS growth and a significant decline in price over the past year, with a 12-month return of -32.2%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with only a 4-point difference, suggesting a consistent view across different time horizons. UBER trades at a P/E of 14.0, which is relatively moderate, and exhibits strong profitability with an ROE near 36%.