MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (41) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $179 (last qtr, 12 analysts) → $187 (last mo, 4) (+4.1%).
Buy-rated share 100% → 95% over ~3 months (-5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $-1.84 | $-2.29 | -24.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $-1.58 | $-1.86 | -17.7% |
| Nov 2025 | $-1.42 | $-1.61 | -13.4% |
| Aug 2025 | $-0.94 | $-1.31 | -39.4% |
| May 2025 | $-1.12 | $-1.13 | -0.9% |
| Feb 2025 | $-1.01 | $-1.12 | -10.9% |
| Nov 2024 | $-0.89 | $-0.94 | -5.2% |
| Aug 2024 | $-0.77 | $-0.81 | -5.2% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29M— | $35M+20.4% | $12M-67.3% | $0-100.0% | $0n/m |
| EPS (dil.) | $-2.47— | $-3.08n/m | $-3.86n/m | $-3.58n/m | $-5.95n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$154M— | -$235Mn/m | -$358Mn/m | -$568Mn/m | -$914Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | 100.0%0.0pp | 100.0%0.0pp | — | — |
| Operating Margin | -639.7% | -730.0%-90.3pp | -4207.1%-3477.1pp | — | — |
| Net Margin | -636.6% | -703.0%-66.4pp | -3768.3%-3065.3pp | — | — |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$51.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 43 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 41 for RVMD suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a divergence between its long-term and short-term scores. The stock's strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 374% and a 3-month return of 95.3%, boosts its short-term score to 51. However, its low profitability, with an ROE of -83.2%, and unattractive value metrics, including a negative P/E, weigh down its long-term score to 31. The stock trades at a premium, reflecting its recent price surge.