MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $86 (last qtr, 5 analysts) → $100 (last mo, 1) (+16.8%).
Buy-rated share 44% → 53% over ~3 months (+9pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.20 | $1.32 | +10.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.30 | $1.34 | +3.1% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.27 | $1.38 | +8.7% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.18 | $1.10 | -6.8% |
| May 2025 | $1.11 | $1.15 | +3.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.23 | $1.19 | -3.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.16 | $1.22 | +5.2% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.22 | $1.23 | +0.8% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.4B— | $12.6B+2.0% | $12.3B-2.4% | $12.7B+2.7% | $13.2B+4.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.45— | $3.91-12.1% | $3.16-19.2% | $3.05-3.5% | $3.27+7.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $631M— | $506M-19.8% | $313M-38.1% | $661M+111.2% | $573M-13.3% |
| Gross Margin | 29.6% | 28.9%-0.8pp | 29.6%+0.7pp | 29.7%+0.1pp | 29.1%-0.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 6.9% | 7.4%+0.5pp | 5.8%-1.6pp | 5.8%-0.0pp | 5.7%-0.0pp |
| Net Margin | 5.0% | 4.3%-0.8pp | 3.4%-0.9pp | 3.1%-0.3pp | 3.0%-0.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$7.9M over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 10 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 56 for Henry Schein indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score slightly outpacing its long-term score. The stock scores high on momentum, driven by a 16.7% return over the past year and a bullish moving average trend. However, its growth score is dragged down by a decline in free cash flow growth, and its value score is moderate due to a P/E of 25.4, which is somewhat elevated. The stock's risk profile is relatively low, with a beta of 0.8 and moderate volatility.