MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$931K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $104 avg across 7 analysts.
Buy-rated share 22% → 24% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.46 | $1.43 | -2.1% |
| May 2026 | $-0.03 | $0.27 | +1000.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.05 | $0.13 | +160.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $3.04 | $3.39 | +11.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.58 | $1.58 | +0.0% |
| May 2025 | $0.05 | $-0.04 | -180.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $-0.31 | $-0.06 | +80.6% |
| Nov 2024 | $3.49 | $3.37 | -3.4% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.8B— | $4.3B+13.7% | $4.7B+8.6% | $5.1B+9.1% | $5.3B+4.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $5.47— | $4.26-22.1% | $4.41+3.5% | $5.24+18.8% | $5.05-3.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$613M— | -$466Mn/m | -$639Mn/m | -$639Mn/m | -$820Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | 44.6% | 39.5%-5.1pp | 39.3%-0.2pp | 41.7%+2.4pp | 25.4%-16.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 21.2% | 16.9%-4.2pp | 17.6%+0.6pp | 19.7%+2.2pp | 20.9%+1.2pp |
| Net Margin | 16.3% | 11.2%-5.1pp | 10.7%-0.5pp | 11.9%+1.2pp | 11.5%-0.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
PNW's QScore of 54 indicates a neutral outlook, driven by its strong value score, which reflects a reasonable P/E of 18.9 and P/B of 1.7. The stock's momentum score also scores high, exhibiting a bullish trend with a 12-month return of 8.9%. However, growth and profitability scores are lower, due to negative EPS growth and a low ROE of 9.0%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference, suggesting a consistent view of the stock's prospects.