MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.7B— | $9.8B+0.8% | $11.2B+14.7% | $10.3B-8.4% | $12.2B+18.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-1.29— | $2.06n/m | $5.13+149.0% | $3.54-31.0% | $4.21+18.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$983M— | -$1.4Bn/m | $481Mn/m | -$1.2B-359.3% | $325Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | 30.8% | 26.6%-4.3pp | 43.0%+16.4pp | 34.4%-8.5pp | 69.0%+34.6pp |
| Operating Margin | -8.8% | 14.1%+22.9pp | 32.8%+18.7pp | 22.9%-9.9pp | 24.5%+1.6pp |
| Net Margin | -6.7% | 10.5%+17.2pp | 22.8%+12.3pp | 17.2%-5.6pp | 17.3%+0.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $89 (last qtr, 3 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 50% → 39% over ~3 months (-11pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.44 | $1.55 | +7.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.71 | $0.72 | +1.3% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.02 | $1.13 | +10.8% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.70 | $0.77 | +10.3% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.44 | $1.43 | -0.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.82 | $0.84 | +2.4% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.87 | $0.90 | +3.4% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.63 | $0.63 | +0.0% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$1.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 7 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 57 for PEG indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of positive and negative factors. The stock scores high on growth, with revenue and EPS growth near 19%, and exhibits strong profitability, with an ROE of 13.3% and operating margin of 25.5%. However, its value score is mediocre, with a P/E of 18.4, and momentum is lackluster, with a 12-month return of just 1.0% and a bearish moving average trend. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting a consistent view of the stock's prospects.