MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (60) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.1B— | $1.4B+30.3% | $1.7B+23.2% | $1.9B+11.2% | $2.1B+8.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.37— | $4.84+43.6% | $5.88+21.5% | $8.92+51.7% | $8.08-9.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | $193M— | $228M+18.2% | $288M+26.2% | $341M+18.3% | $408M+19.6% |
| Gross Margin | 84.7% | 84.5%-0.1pp | 83.7%-0.8pp | 82.2%-1.5pp | 83.2%+0.9pp |
| Operating Margin | 24.0% | 27.5%+3.5pp | 26.6%-0.9pp | 33.7%+7.0pp | 27.6%-6.0pp |
| Net Margin | 18.6% | 20.5%+1.9pp | 20.1%-0.3pp | 26.7%+6.5pp | 22.1%-4.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-08-02.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 8.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $346M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $408M) · equity value $11.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Avg target $241 (last qtr, 14 analysts) → $286 (last mo, 4) (+19.0%).
Buy-rated share 30% → 27% over ~3 months (-3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $2.38 | $2.78 | +16.8% |
| May 2026 | $2.99 | $3.15 | +5.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.44 | $2.45 | +0.4% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.95 | $1.94 | -0.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.78 | $2.06 | +15.7% |
| May 2025 | $2.57 | $2.80 | +8.9% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.99 | $2.32 | +16.6% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.61 | $1.67 | +3.7% |
Net insider -$1.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 60 indicates a moderately positive outlook for Paycom Software, driven by strong momentum and low risk. The stock exhibits strong momentum, scoring 73, with a 12-month return of 41.6% and a 3-month return of 56.5%. In contrast, the value and growth categories score lower, at 49 and 43, respectively, due to a P/E of 28.0 and negative EPS growth of -9.0%. The short-term score is 8 points higher than the long-term score, suggesting a recent surge in the stock's performance.