MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (58) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$2.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 6 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $51 (last qtr, 4 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 80% → 80% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.05 | $1.06 | +1.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.50 | $0.51 | +2.9% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.20 | $0.19 | -5.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.20 | $0.22 | +7.3% |
| May 2025 | $0.90 | $0.98 | +9.4% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.48 | $0.49 | +2.3% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.16 | $0.20 | +25.0% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.17 | $0.21 | +23.5% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.9B— | $5.9B+19.4% | $5.5B-5.9% | $5.5B-0.9% | $6.6B+21.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.27— | $1.70+33.9% | $1.48-12.9% | $1.62+9.5% | $1.95+20.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$620M— | -$794Mn/m | -$711Mn/m | -$862Mn/m | -$420Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | 41.9% | 38.5%-3.4pp | 45.0%+6.5pp | 51.5%+6.5pp | 58.6%+7.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 20.6% | 21.6%+1.1pp | 23.5%+1.9pp | 26.7%+3.2pp | 27.6%+0.9pp |
| Net Margin | 11.9% | 13.7%+1.8pp | 13.0%-0.8pp | 13.9%+1.0pp | 14.0%+0.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 58 for NiSource Inc indicates a moderately attractive stock, with the short-term score of 61 being slightly higher than the long-term score of 56. The stock scores high on growth and momentum, driven by strong revenue and EPS growth of 21.8% and 20.2%, respectively, as well as a 12-month return of 23.5%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 24.3, which brings down its value score, while its profitability score is also middling, with an ROE of 10.4%.