MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.1B— | $21.0B+22.8% | $28.1B+34.2% | $24.8B-12.0% | $27.5B+11.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.81— | $2.10+15.7% | $3.60+71.8% | $3.37-6.4% | $3.29-2.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$277M— | -$1.5Bn/m | $1.8Bn/m | $4.7B+170.7% | $3.2B-32.3% |
| Gross Margin | 50.2% | 48.4%-1.8pp | 63.9%+15.6pp | 60.1%-3.9pp | 62.8%+2.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 17.1% | 19.5%+2.4pp | 36.4%+16.9pp | 30.2%-6.2pp | 30.1%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 20.9% | 19.8%-1.1pp | 26.0%+6.2pp | 28.1%+2.1pp | 24.9%-3.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $103 (last qtr, 12 analysts) → $101 (last mo, 6) (-2.3%).
Buy-rated share 67% → 62% over ~3 months (-5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $1.09 | $1.15 | +5.5% |
| Apr 2026 | $1.03 | $1.09 | +5.8% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.56 | $0.53 | -5.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.97 | $1.13 | +16.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.01 | $1.05 | +4.0% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.97 | $0.99 | +2.2% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.53 | $0.53 | +0.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.98 | $1.03 | +5.1% |
Net insider -$2.8M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 7 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 8.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.2B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $3.2B) · equity value $179.8B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 51 for NextEra Energy indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's long-term and short-term scores closely aligned. The stock scores high on profitability, driven by its strong ROE of 16.8% and operating margin of 29.5%. However, its value score is dragged down by a P/E of 19.3 and EV/EBITDA of 16.2, indicating it trades at a premium, while growth is also a mixed factor due to a decline in EPS and FCF growth despite an 11% revenue growth.