MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $92 (last qtr, 11 analysts) → $90 (last mo, 10) (-2.4%).
Buy-rated share 64% → 65% over ~3 months (+2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.20 | $1.24 | +3.3% |
| Jul 2026 | $1.09 | $1.15 | +5.5% |
| Apr 2026 | $1.03 | $1.09 | +5.8% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.56 | $0.53 | -5.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.97 | $1.13 | +16.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.01 | $1.05 | +4.0% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.97 | $0.99 | +2.2% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.53 | $0.53 | +0.0% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.1B— | $21.0B+22.8% | $28.1B+34.2% | $24.8B-12.0% | $27.5B+11.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.81— | $2.10+15.7% | $3.60+71.8% | $3.37-6.4% | $3.29-2.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$277M— | -$1.5Bn/m | $1.8Bn/m | $4.7B+170.7% | $3.2B-32.3% |
| Gross Margin | 50.2% | 48.4%-1.8pp | 63.9%+15.6pp | 60.1%-3.9pp | 62.8%+2.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 17.1% | 19.5%+2.4pp | 36.4%+16.9pp | 30.2%-6.2pp | 30.1%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 20.9% | 19.8%-1.1pp | 26.0%+6.2pp | 28.1%+2.1pp | 24.9%-3.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 9.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.2B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $3.2B) · equity value $176.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 54 indicates a neutral outlook for NextEra Energy, with the long-term and short-term scores closely aligned. The stock scores high on profitability, driven by a strong ROE of 20.4% and operating margin of 29.7%, but is held back by relatively low value scores due to its P/E of 15.1 and EV/EBITDA of 16.6. Momentum is also a positive factor, with a 12-month return of 3.1% and an RSI of 71.1, although recent 3-month performance has been weaker.