MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (46) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.2B— | $1.8B+48.5% | $1.8B+1.5% | $2.2B+21.2% | $2.8B+26.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $5.05— | $9.05+79.2% | $8.76-3.2% | $36.59+317.7% | $12.75-65.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $225M— | $188M-16.4% | $581M+209.1% | $642M+10.6% | $666M+3.7% |
| Gross Margin | 56.8% | 58.4%+1.7pp | 56.1%-2.4pp | 55.3%-0.8pp | 55.2%-0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 21.7% | 29.4%+7.6pp | 26.5%-2.9pp | 24.4%-2.0pp | 26.1%+1.7pp |
| Net Margin | 20.0% | 24.4%+4.4pp | 23.5%-0.9pp | 81.0%+57.5pp | 22.1%-58.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$260.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 93 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $1734 (last qtr, 6 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 88% → 88% over ~3 months (-1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $4.90 | $5.10 | +4.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $4.74 | $4.79 | +1.1% |
| Oct 2025 | $4.64 | $4.73 | +1.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $4.12 | $4.21 | +2.2% |
| May 2025 | $4.01 | $4.04 | +0.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $4.01 | $4.09 | +2.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $3.97 | $4.06 | +2.3% |
| Aug 2024 | $3.07 | $3.17 | +3.3% |
The QScore of 46 for MPWR indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's high valuation and mixed growth metrics offset by its strong momentum and profitability. The stock scores high on momentum, exhibiting strong returns over the past year, and profitability, with a gross margin near 55%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 94.1, and exhibits weak earnings growth, dragging down its value and growth scores. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting a consistent view of the stock's prospects.