MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (48) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Avg target $242 (last qtr, 22 analysts) → $229 (last mo, 13) (-5.2%).
Buy-rated share 63% → 62% over ~3 months (-1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $1.00 | $1.05 | +5.0% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.92 | $0.94 | +2.5% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.88 | $0.89 | +1.1% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.86 | $0.88 | +2.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.85 | $0.94 | +10.6% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.81 | $0.84 | +3.7% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.77 | $0.82 | +6.5% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.70 | $0.73 | +4.1% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.2B— | $10.5B+13.9% | $9.8B-6.5% | $12.2B+23.9% | $13.6B+11.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.19— | $2.42+10.2% | $2.03-16.0% | $3.04+49.8% | $3.66+20.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.0B— | $3.3B+10.7% | $3.0B-8.9% | $3.7B+23.4% | $3.8B+0.7% |
| Gross Margin | 61.0% | 59.8%-1.2pp | 60.0%+0.2pp | 60.9%+0.9pp | 61.3%+0.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 39.7% | 38.1%-1.6pp | 37.1%-1.0pp | 41.2%+4.2pp | 41.7%+0.4pp |
| Net Margin | 36.1% | 32.3%-3.8pp | 28.1%-4.1pp | 33.4%+5.3pp | 35.6%+2.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$65.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 17 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 15.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.5B (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $3.8B) · equity value $276.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 48 for KLAC indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong and weak factors. The stock scores high on profitability, with an ROE near 85%, and exhibits strong momentum, having returned +127% over the past year. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 57.4, which weighs on its value score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting a consistent view of the stock's prospects.