MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.9B— | $5.4B+9.7% | $5.5B+0.8% | $5.0B-8.9% | $5.4B+8.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.78— | $6.18+29.3% | $5.91-4.4% | $3.51-40.6% | $4.88+39.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.1B— | $959M-16.5% | $1.2B+26.4% | $898M-25.9% | $1.3B+42.7% |
| Gross Margin | 62.1% | 63.7%+1.5pp | 64.6%+1.0pp | 62.9%-1.7pp | 62.1%-0.8pp |
| Operating Margin | 21.9% | 24.6%+2.8pp | 24.9%+0.2pp | 16.7%-8.1pp | 17.6%+0.9pp |
| Net Margin | 18.1% | 20.7%+2.6pp | 19.3%-1.4pp | 12.3%-7.0pp | 15.7%+3.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$13.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 11 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $385 avg across 10 analysts.
Buy-rated share 71% → 83% over ~3 months (+12pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $2.32 | $2.87 | +23.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.00 | $2.17 | +8.5% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.83 | $1.91 | +4.4% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.67 | $1.72 | +3.0% |
| May 2025 | $1.65 | $1.70 | +3.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.69 | $1.82 | +7.7% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.57 | $1.65 | +5.1% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.35 | $1.57 | +16.3% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 9.0%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.1B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.3B) · equity value $60.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 56 for KEYS indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong momentum and lower risk, which are offset by relatively weak value and growth scores. KEYS scores high on momentum, exhibiting a 113.3% return over the past year, and trades at a premium, with a P/E of 58.6. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with the short-term score 5 points higher, suggesting some consistency in the outlook. The company's profitability is moderate, with an ROE of 17.4% and an operating margin of 18.2%.