MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (50) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $24.6B— | $28.8B+16.8% | $29.1B+1.0% | $30.4B+4.5% | $32.2B+6.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.94— | $3.17-35.8% | $5.43+71.3% | $5.71+5.2% | $6.31+10.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$1.4B— | -$5.4Bn/m | -$2.7Bn/m | $48Mn/m | -$1.7B-3583.3% |
| Gross Margin | 48.6% | 45.1%-3.5pp | 47.3%+2.2pp | 50.1%+2.7pp | 31.6%-18.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 22.3% | 20.9%-1.4pp | 24.3%+3.4pp | 26.1%+1.8pp | 26.6%+0.5pp |
| Net Margin | 15.9% | 8.9%-7.0pp | 14.8%+5.9pp | 14.9%+0.1pp | 15.4%+0.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $136 (last qtr, 10 analysts) → $136 (last mo, 5) (+0.1%).
Buy-rated share 43% → 48% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.30 | $1.43 | +10.0% |
| May 2026 | $1.87 | $1.93 | +3.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.49 | $1.50 | +0.7% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.76 | $1.81 | +2.8% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.18 | $1.25 | +5.9% |
| May 2025 | $1.60 | $1.76 | +10.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.65 | $1.66 | +0.6% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.70 | $1.62 | -4.7% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$7.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 9 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 50 indicates a neutral outlook for Duke Energy Corporation, with neither strong bullish nor bearish signals. The stock scores high on value, with a P/E of 18.6 and P/B of 1.8, and exhibits strong momentum, as evidenced by its bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. However, growth is a concern, driven by a significant decline in free cash flow growth, which offsets the positive revenue and EPS growth. The stock's profitability and risk profiles are relatively stable, with an ROE near 10% and a beta of 0.4.