MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$102.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 84 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $434 avg across 18 analysts.
Buy-rated share 66% → 70% over ~3 months (+5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $2.96 | $4.86 | +64.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.53 | $3.89 | +10.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.47 | $2.59 | +4.9% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.29 | $2.32 | +1.3% |
| May 2025 | $1.70 | $1.55 | -8.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.52 | $2.68 | +6.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.04 | $2.15 | +5.4% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.70 | $1.89 | +11.2% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $101.2B— | $102.3B+1.1% | $88.4B-13.6% | $95.6B+8.1% | $113.5B+18.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $7.02— | $3.24-53.8% | $4.60+42.0% | $6.38+38.7% | $8.68+36.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $7.5B— | $562M-92.5% | $5.9B+953.4% | $1.9B-68.4% | $8.6B+357.6% |
| Gross Margin | 21.6% | 22.2%+0.5pp | 23.8%+1.7pp | 22.2%-1.6pp | 20.0%-2.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 4.6% | 5.6%+1.0pp | 6.1%+0.5pp | 6.5%+0.4pp | 7.4%+0.9pp |
| Net Margin | 5.5% | 2.4%-3.1pp | 3.8%+1.4pp | 4.8%+1.0pp | 5.2%+0.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 14.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $5.4B (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $8.6B) · equity value $333.8B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 52 for DELL indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score exceeding its long-term score by 13 points. DELL scores high on growth and momentum, driven by strong revenue and earnings growth, as well as a significant 12-month return of 255.6%. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 39.3, and exhibits weak profitability, with an ROE of -363.2%, which weighs down its overall score.