MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (46) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-08-30.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.0B— | $8.6B+22.4% | $7.5B-13.2% | $7.5B+0.7% | $8.5B+13.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.09— | $2.94-4.9% | $3.08+4.8% | $3.61+17.2% | $3.78+4.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$390M— | -$1.6Bn/m | -$771Mn/m | -$550Mn/m | $2.2Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 37.4% | 32.1%-5.3pp | 38.4%+6.2pp | 42.7%+4.3pp | 41.5%-1.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 16.7% | 14.2%-2.5pp | 16.6%+2.3pp | 19.8%+3.2pp | 20.2%+0.4pp |
| Net Margin | 12.4% | 9.7%-2.6pp | 11.9%+2.1pp | 13.3%+1.5pp | 12.5%-0.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | — | $0.44 | — |
| Jul 2026 | — | $0.43 | — |
| Apr 2026 | — | $1.21 | — |
| Feb 2026 | — | $0.76 | — |
| Oct 2025 | — | $0.99 | — |
| Apr 2025 | — | $1.08 | — |
| Feb 2025 | — | $0.99 | — |
| Oct 2024 | — | $0.90 | — |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
Base free cash flow $305M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.2B) · equity value $22.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 46 for Consumers Energy Company suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on value and growth, with a reasonable P/E of 26.1 and notable revenue growth of 13.6%. However, it exhibits weaker momentum, with a 12-month return of -7.1% and a bearish moving average trend, as well as lower profitability, with an ROE of 6.1%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference.