MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (40) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-08-02.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $355 (last qtr, 12 analysts) → $348 (last mo, 7) (-2.0%).
Buy-rated share 87% → 81% over ~3 months (-6pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $2.29 | $2.55 | +11.4% |
| May 2026 | $2.56 | $2.74 | +7.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.28 | $2.30 | +0.9% |
| Nov 2025 | $3.11 | $3.04 | -2.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.84 | $1.91 | +3.8% |
| May 2025 | $2.18 | $2.14 | -1.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.16 | $2.44 | +13.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.66 | $2.74 | +3.0% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.6B— | $24.4B+24.4% | $24.9B+2.0% | $23.6B-5.4% | $25.5B+8.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.63— | $-0.49n/m | $5.01n/m | $11.89+137.3% | $7.40-37.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$2.7B— | -$4.0Bn/m | -$7.7Bn/m | -$5.0Bn/m | $1.3Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 14.0% | 8.7%-5.2pp | 13.0%+4.2pp | 25.4%+12.4pp | 18.4%-7.0pp |
| Operating Margin | -1.8% | 2.0%+3.8pp | 6.5%+4.4pp | 18.5%+12.0pp | 12.1%-6.4pp |
| Net Margin | -1.0% | -0.7%+0.4pp | 6.5%+7.2pp | 15.9%+9.4pp | 9.1%-6.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider $418K over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 0 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 40 for Constellation Energy Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, driven by mixed category scores. The stock scores relatively high on profitability, with an ROE of 14.7%, but is dragged down by weak momentum, exhibiting a 12-month return of -34.6% and a bearish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference, indicating a consistent view across different time horizons. The stock trades at a P/E of 25.3, which is somewhat elevated, contributing to a moderate value score of 42.