MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Avg target $77 (last qtr, 9 analysts) → $89 (last mo, 4) (+15.3%).
Buy-rated share 50% → 59% over ~3 months (+9pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.17 | $1.24 | +6.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.16 | $1.35 | +16.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.16 | $1.24 | +6.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.06 | $1.21 | +14.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.98 | $1.11 | +13.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.93 | $1.01 | +8.6% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.92 | $1.09 | +18.5% |
| Jul 2024 | $1.01 | $1.19 | +17.8% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $14.8B— | $12.6B-14.8% | $14.2B+12.4% | $14.1B-0.8% | $14.3B+1.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.24— | $3.99+78.1% | $2.67-33.1% | $1.50-43.8% | $1.28-14.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $638M— | $948M+48.6% | $477M-49.7% | $681M+42.8% | $1.2B+73.1% |
| Gross Margin | 19.3% | 18.7%-0.5pp | 18.1%-0.7pp | 18.5%+0.5pp | 18.7%+0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 9.3% | 8.4%-1.0pp | 8.7%+0.3pp | 8.9%+0.3pp | 9.2%+0.3pp |
| Net Margin | 3.6% | 7.5%+3.9pp | 4.4%-3.1pp | 2.4%-2.0pp | 1.9%-0.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$10.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 19 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
BorgWarner's QScore of 57 indicates a relatively neutral outlook, with the short-term score of 60 being slightly more favorable than the long-term score of 54. The stock scores high on momentum, driven by a 96.1% return over the past year and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 38.3, and exhibits weak profitability, with an ROE of 6.3%, which weighs down its overall score.