MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $84 avg across 7 analysts.
Buy-rated share 67% → 71% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.25 | $1.39 | +11.2% |
| Aug 2026 | $1.28 | $1.42 | +10.9% |
| May 2026 | $1.17 | $1.24 | +6.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.16 | $1.35 | +16.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.16 | $1.24 | +6.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.06 | $1.21 | +14.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.98 | $1.11 | +13.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.93 | $1.01 | +8.6% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $14.8B— | $12.6B-14.8% | $14.2B+12.4% | $14.1B-0.8% | $14.3B+1.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.24— | $3.99+78.1% | $2.67-33.1% | $1.50-43.8% | $1.28-14.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $791M— | $948M+19.8% | $477M-49.7% | $681M+42.8% | $1.2B+77.4% |
| Gross Margin | 19.3% | 18.7%-0.5pp | 18.1%-0.7pp | 18.5%+0.5pp | 18.7%+0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 9.3% | 8.4%-1.0pp | 8.7%+0.3pp | 8.9%+0.3pp | 3.7%-5.2pp |
| Net Margin | 3.6% | 7.5%+3.9pp | 4.4%-3.1pp | 2.4%-2.0pp | 1.9%-0.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 5.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $789M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.2B) · equity value $10.4B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net insider -$11.1M over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 18 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 51 for BorgWarner Inc. suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a relatively strong value score of 56, which is supported by a P/E of 21.3 and EV/EBITDA of 8.6. However, the growth and momentum scores are lower at 45, reflecting mixed trends such as -14.6% EPS growth and a -19.4% 3-month return. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 2-point difference, indicating a consistent view across different time horizons.