MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.0B— | $8.4B+40.2% | $9.9B+18.1% | $11.1B+11.9% | $12.2B+10.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.57— | $2.79n/m | $7.24+159.5% | $4.11-43.2% | $4.03-1.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.3B— | $3.4B+47.2% | $3.9B+14.1% | $4.5B+16.3% | $4.6B+2.8% |
| Gross Margin | 80.7% | 82.2%+1.4pp | 82.8%+0.7pp | 83.1%+0.3pp | 83.0%-0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 7.2% | 21.5%+14.3pp | 15.3%-6.1pp | 23.0%+7.7pp | 20.8%-2.2pp |
| Net Margin | -5.9% | 22.5%+28.4pp | 48.3%+25.8pp | 23.9%-24.5pp | 20.5%-3.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $161 (last qtr, 12 analysts) → $160 (last mo, 1) (-0.4%).
Buy-rated share 44% → 53% over ~3 months (+9pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.30 | $0.26 | -14.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.67 | $0.56 | -15.9% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.31 | $2.21 | -4.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.94 | $1.03 | +9.9% |
| May 2025 | $0.23 | $0.24 | +2.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.61 | $0.73 | +19.7% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.14 | $2.13 | -0.5% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.92 | $0.86 | -6.5% |
Net insider -$240.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 77 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 57 for Airbnb indicates a moderately favorable outlook, driven by strong momentum and profitability scores of 61 and 66, respectively. The company's high return on equity near 31% and gross margin of 82.9% contribute to its strong profitability. However, its value score is dragged down by a P/E of 35.3 and P/B of 11.4, indicating a premium valuation. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, suggesting recent momentum may be a key factor in its current outlook.